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San Francisco -- A group of researchers led by NASA, in collaboration with Space Environment Technologies, Inc., the National Center for Atmospheric Resarch (NCAR), and Dartmouth College, are building a model that can predict the solar and cosmic radiation exposure for crews and passengers on commercial airline flights. Researchers will be presenting their preliminary work at the American Geophysical Union meeting in San Francisco on Friday, Dec. 19.

While it may not be commonly known, airline flight crews are currently classified as "radiation workers," a federal designation that means they are consistently exposed to radiation. Flight crews on high-latitude routes, in fact, are exposed to more radiation on an annual basis than nuclear plant workers.

But unlike in other fields, radiation exposure is not measured in the airline industry, nor are there standards or limits regarding exposure.

A NASA Applied Sciences project called NAIRAS, Nowcast of Atmosphere Ionizing Radiation for Aviation Safety, seeks to build tools that use real-time data and modeling to estimate radiation exposure. The issue has been of concern to pilots, crews and scientists for some time, but this will be the first real-time, data-driven, global model to predict not just cosmic background radiation, but also radiation during solar storm events.

Passengers and flight crews are exposed to radiation because the shielding from Earth's atmosphere against high-energy solar particles and cosmic rays is weaker at normal cruising altitudes than at the surface. The threat is even greater for flight paths that take planes near the poles, because the momentum shielding by Earth's magnetic field is weaker at high latitudes. The concern is greatest for flight crews and frequent flyers because of their consistent exposure over long periods.

Christopher Mertens, a senior research scientist at NASA Langley Research Center and the NAIRAS principal investigator, said the model should provide the most accurate estimations yet of the biologically damaging radiation doses received by airline crews and passengers. The model will use measurements from ground-based neutron monitors, atmospheric temperature and density, solar particle flux and solar wind parameters to "nowcast" exposure levels. Measurements from the NASA Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE) spacecraft and NOAA GOES satellites are used in the model.

 

 

 

New features in S2KRG v2.25 (http://SpaceWx.com website - S2KRG QUICK-LINK) are:

1) 2 new solar proxies:

a) The E162 proxy (reported in units of F10.7) is released with this version which enables a user to access the 162-day smoothed E10.7 for date ranges greater than 162 days. The MET v2.0 atmospheric density model uses the daily and 162-day (running boxcar) smoothed values.

b) The XE10 proxy (reported in units of F10.7) is released with this version and, for satellite operators, may provide slightly better modeling of atmospheric densities that affect satellite drag compared to F10.7 or E10.7. It is the integrated 1-40 nm energy flux whose energy is primarily absorbed by atomic oxygen above 200 km.

2) 185 new photoionization rates: Photoionization rates for 185 ions are calculated using cross sections interpolated over resonances for the ground states of atoms and all ions of the OP elements (Verner et al., 1996: H, He, Le, Be, B, C, N, O, F, Ne, Na, Mg, Al, Si, S, Ar, Ca, Fe). The cross sections are multiplied by photon flux to provide values. The photoionization rates are valid for the energy range from the ionization threshold to the first cross section jump due to inner shell photoionization.

3) The proxies in Earth-observed S2KRG v2.25 model are extended through 28-FEB-2005. This includes the updated composite Lyman-alpha released by T. Woods on December 1, 2004 containing values through November 28, 2004.

4) S2KRG v2.25 is only released for use on IDL 6.0 or higher and for the "observed" flux rather than "1-AU adjusted." An adjusted version will be released soon and, by request, an IDL 5.6 version will be released.

5) .The SOLAR2000 Professional Grade v2.25 is also available and provides forecasts of the same parameters as the Research Grade model for operational users. Please contact spacenvironment@spacenvironment.net for more information on S2KPG v2.2

12 Feb 05 - New predictions of solar flare qualities (http://SpaceWx.com website - FLARE QUICK-LINK) have a 1-minute resolution with a 2-minute cadence and a 6-minute latency. The X-ray flare evolution prediction is fully automated, uses the GOES 0.1-0.8 nm X-ray flux data, and provides a model of an expected flare profile based on the background level and the flare rise time. The past 72-hours of X-ray flux and prediction history are displayed along with text describing the dynamically-changing space weather-related impacts affecting communication, navigation, LEO, and GEO spacecraft systems.

 

 

 

 

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